For the latest Srinagar-Leh updates , go here ( short catchy link : http://korta.nu/sleh ) . For the informed guess , here are the opening dates in April and May over the last ( almost ) decade , 2001-2009.
It made me surprised myself , when it comes out in a diagram : the “typical” openings around the turn of April/May are matched by the equally frequent “extreme late” openings from mid-to-end May . The observant webbie have probably already noticed that there are ten openings in nine years : the 2008 opening was a mildly chaotic affair , lasting a single day , with a few hundred Indians in solid summer clothes experiencing avalanches cutting the road behind & ahead of them , making it in to Leh . Eventually. Thus the statistical term “iffy” : a officially open road is no guarantee that you will make it on the exact date you have in mind .
Post 2009 updates :
2010 the road opened April 20th
2011 : May 3rd
2012 : April 25th
2013 : April 9th
2014: May 16th
2015 : May 8th